Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
RIV
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
AAO
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
5 - 1
FLA
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
RIV
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 1
4DE
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
5 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COR
2 - 3
4DE
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |