Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
0 - 2
RIV
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
RIV
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
3 - 1
4DE
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 1
ALT
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 2
4DE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
4DE
1 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |