Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
MAR
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIV
24%
27%
50%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
4DE
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 1
PIC
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
4DE
2 - 2
RIV
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
4DE
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |