Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 0
PIA
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
RIV
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
7DE
1 - 0
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
RIV
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
2 - 2
RIV
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
4DE
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
0 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 3
4DE
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |