Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RIV
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
4DE
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |