Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 7
RIV
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 2
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
4DE
1 - 2
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
4DE
29%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 4
4DE
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
4DE
2 - 0
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
4DE
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |