River Plate Montevideo vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ETS
2 - 1
RIV
23%
25%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CER
1 - 1
RIV
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
LFC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
DAN
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAC
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |