River Plate Montevideo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
MWA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
SWA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
IBE
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |