River Plate Montevideo vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 2
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 0
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 3
SUD
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
MWA
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 0
SUD
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
LFC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |