River Plate Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
7º
5º
14
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
RIV
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 3
RIV
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 3
RAC
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
SLO
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MWA
2 - 0
PEÑ
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |