River Plate Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
BOS
2 - 3
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
RIV
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
OPE
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 1
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
TOR
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ATE
1 - 2
PEÑ
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |