River Plate Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 2
RIV
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MWA
5 - 1
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 4
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ETS
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |