River Plate Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 0
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 1
JUN
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MWA
0 - 3
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 0
REN
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LFC
1 - 2
RIV
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 3
PEÑ
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |