River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 1
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 3
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 0
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 0
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSY
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |