River Plate Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
LFC
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
RIV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 1
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BVS
2 - 2
MWA
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
1 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |