River Plate Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 0
RIV
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
RAC
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
ETS
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 4
RIV
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FEN
3 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
FEN
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FEN
4 - 1
REN
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |