River Plate Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIV
5 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FEN
3 - 1
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FEN
3 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 0
FEN
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |