River Plate Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 3
CER
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
CSC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
MWA
67%
18%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 2
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MWA
2 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
FEN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |