River Plate Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
MWA
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
CER
2 - 3
RIV
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 4
CEL
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
FEN
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 4
ATE
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
FEN
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FEN
4 - 1
DAN
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |