River Plate Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
7º
5º
6
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 3
RAC
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
JUN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEP
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEP
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |