River Plate Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
8º
6º
14
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOS
51%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
LFC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
RIV
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 4
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 4
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |