River Plate Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
RAC
4 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RIV
4 - 0
ETS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
55%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |