River Plate Montevideo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 2
CER
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 2
FEN
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 0
DAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 3
CEL
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 4
PEÑ
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
DAN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |