River Plate Montevideo vs CSyD Villa Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 2
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DAN
2 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
PLA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSyD Villa Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CSY
0 - 3
BOS
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 2
DEF
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
CSY
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 0
CER
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CSY
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |