River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIV
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
BVS
71%
18%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
MWA
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ETS
2 - 1
CER
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CER
2 - 2
CEL
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
MWA
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 2
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |