River Plate Montevideo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
MWA
67%
18%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 3
LFC
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
RIV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
3 - 2
BVS
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETS
3 - 2
CSC
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
CSC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 4
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |