River Plate Montevideo vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEL
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 2
CER
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
CEN
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |