Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 5-0
River Plate Montevideo vs Blooming analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BLO
0 - 1
RIV
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 0
FEN
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIV
5 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Blooming
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BLO
0 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BLO
0 - 1
RIV
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PET
4 - 0
BLO
37%
28%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
BLO
4 - 0
RPO
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |