Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
River Plate Montevideo vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CER
0 - 0
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 2
RIV
44%
22%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
LFC
0 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
2 - 3
SBO
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGP
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 2
RIV
44%
22%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 1
VAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 0
AGP
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |