Guayaquil City vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 0
RIV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 1
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIG
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIV
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 1
MUS
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
UCE
4 - 2
DEL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 2
UCE
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EME
0 - 1
UCE
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
UCE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |