Guayaquil City vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 3
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 2
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 2
CUE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 3
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 0
UCE
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CUE
3 - 1
UCE
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |