Guayaquil City vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIG
4 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
IVT
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
EME
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DEL
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
IVT
3 - 2
RIV
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UCE
0 - 0
DEL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
UCE
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UCE
5 - 1
CLA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EME
2 - 2
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
UCE
2 - 2
FAM
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |