Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
EME
1 - 0
RIV
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAN
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
OLM
0 - 0
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIG
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
EME
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 2
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MUS
2 - 6
UCE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TEC
1 - 3
MUS
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MUS
2 - 2
BSC
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |