Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 1
RIV
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
4 - 2
AUC
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ORE
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
EME
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 2
LIG
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 3
MUS
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
41%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |