Guayaquil City vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
10º
3º
48
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 64 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 62 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 59 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
88% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
LFC
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
ESA
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIV
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LFC
3 - 0
MAN
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 3
MAN
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |