Guayaquil City vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
10º
3º
57
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
ESA
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
INJ
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |