Guayaquil City vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
10º
5º
29
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 66 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 49 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 49 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 38 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 38 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 34 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
CLN
0 - 0
RIV
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
RIV
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
ESA
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
INJ
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
CLN
1 - 1
INJ
23%
28%
49%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |