Guayaquil City vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CLA
4 - 1
RIV
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
DEL
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 0
RIV
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
RIV
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 2
IVT
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CUE
2 - 1
FAM
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
FAM
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 2
MAC
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |