Guayaquil City vs Ferroviarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
UCE
1 - 1
RIV
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
IMB
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
ESP
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
FER
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FER
2 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |