Guayaquil City vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
LIG
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
UCE
4 - 1
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 1
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
UCE
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
LOJ
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |