Guayaquil City vs Cuniburo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
4º
56
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSV
61%
25%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
ESA
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NMK
0 - 1
RIV
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Cuniburo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CUN
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
6 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CUN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |