Guayaquil City vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
3º
27
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 58 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 52 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
ESA
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NMK
0 - 1
RIV
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 18 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
LFC
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
GUA
31%
31%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
CSV
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
INJ
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |