Guayaquil City vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
3º
27
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 62 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 58 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 55 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 52 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIV
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
RIV
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
CUN
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
MAN
32%
31%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSV
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |