Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
RIV
20%
31%
49%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
RIV
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IVT
2 - 1
EME
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
IVT
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |