Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOJ
3 - 2
IVT
20%
25%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |