Guayaquil City vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 2
IVT
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
MUS
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IVT
2 - 2
CUE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |