Guayaquil City vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
4º
25
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 3
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
CUN
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSV
61%
25%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
4 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |