Guayaquil City vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
10º
4º
28
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
ESA
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIV
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
OCT
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CUN
4 - 1
LFC
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
ESA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
CFV
0 - 1
LFC
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |