Guayaquil City vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 1
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 0
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
ORE
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
TEC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
34%
26%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
DEL
2 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |