Guayaquil City vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
CLA
2 - 1
RIV
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
BSC
1 - 0
RIV
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 1
TEC
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
6 - 1
CLA
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 4
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
AUC
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |