Guayaquil City vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 2
RIV
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
UTC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TEC
2 - 0
RIV
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 1
IMB
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
2 - 2
DPT
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 1
AUC
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 1
LDU
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
AUC
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +2 |